I didn’t attend the party. I was at my house on the hill, moving my tractors, my servers, and my family’s archives to high ground. I stockpiled three weeks of food and water. I notified my insurance carrier.
That night, the weather hit.
A warm front moved up the valley. The temperature climbed from 40 to 58 degrees overnight. The rain started at 11:23 p.m.—heavy, steady, and sustained. By 3:00 a.m., the weather station reported two inches of rain on top of the existing snowpack. By 6:00 a.m., it was three and a half inches.
The Branch River, which usually ran at 800 cubic feet per second, began to climb.
By noon, it was at 4,800. By 4:00 p.m., it hit 7,100.
At 4:43 p.m., the river overtopped its banks where my mill pond used to be. The water had nothing to hold it back.
At 6:08 p.m., my landline rang.
I picked it up on the second ring.
“Rowan.”
It was Heather. Her voice was shaking.
“Rowan… we need help.”
There is a phrase engineers use when a preventable disaster unfolds despite clear, documented warnings: The river does not vote. You cannot argue with water.